2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 35-39 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in Maryland

1. 925 of 925 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 35% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 683 of 683 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 242 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,302 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 35% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 925 of 425,644 people aged 35-39 living in Maryland died from All Causes.

925 ÷ 425,644 = 0.00217 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 9,790 deaths from All Causes among 6,103,743 people aged 35-39 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

9,790 ÷ 6,103,743 = 0.00160 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

425,644 X 0.00160 = 683 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

925 – 683 = 242

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

925 ÷ 683 = 1.3465

This reveals 242 lives lost and is 134.65% of what we expected (an increase of 35%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,607 ÷ 2,835,313 = 0.00198 (5-yr CDR)

425,644(2022 pop) X 0.00198 = 842 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

925 – 842 = 83 or 83 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

925 ÷ 842 = 1.0934 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,260,957 X 0.00160 = 5,230 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6532 – 5,230 = 1,302 or 1,302 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

6,532 ÷ 5,230 = 1.2411 or an increase of 24%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.