2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 40-44 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 40-44 in Maryland

1. 1,069 of 1,069 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 928 of 928 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 141 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 403 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,069 of 408,010 people aged 40-44 living in Maryland died from All Causes.

1,069 ÷ 408,010 = 0.00262 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 14,998 deaths from All Causes among 6,592,948 people aged 40-44 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

14,998 ÷ 6,592,948 = 0.00227 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

408,010 X 0.00227 = 928 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,069 – 928 = 141

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,069 ÷ 928 = 1.1467

This reveals 141 lives lost and is 114.67% of what we expected (an increase of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,265 ÷ 2,638,582 = 0.00237 (5-yr CDR)

408,010(2022 pop) X 0.00237 = 969 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,069 – 969 = 100 or 100 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,069 ÷ 969 = 1.0988 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,046,592 X 0.00227 = 6,931 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7334 – 6,931 = 403 or 403 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,334 ÷ 6,931 = 1.0536 or an increase of 5%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.