2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 75-79 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in Maryland

1. 6,838 of 6,838 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 14% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 7,922 of 7,922 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,084 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 6,933 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 14% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,838 of 195,518 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland died from All Causes.

6,838 ÷ 195,518 = 0.03497 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 77,864 deaths from All Causes among 1,921,686 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

77,864 ÷ 1,921,686 = 0.04052 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

195,518 X 0.04052 = 7,922 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,838 – 7,922 = -1,084

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,838 ÷ 7,922 = 0.8629

This reveals 1,084 lives saved and is 86.29% of what we expected (a decrease of 14%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

39,679 ÷ 1,123,626 = 0.03531 (5-yr CDR)

195,518(2022 pop) X 0.03531 = 6,904 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,838 – 6,904 = -66 or 66 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,838 ÷ 6,904 = 0.9901 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,319,144 X 0.04052 = 53,450 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

46517 – 53,450 = -6,933 or 6,933 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

46,517 ÷ 53,450 = 0.8701 or a decrease of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.