2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 30-34 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 30-34 in Maryland

1. 576 of 576 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 65% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 347 of 347 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 229 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,469 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 65% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 576 of 210,673 men aged 30-34 living in Maryland died from All Causes.

576 ÷ 210,673 = 0.00273 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,561 deaths from All Causes among 2,771,142 men aged 30-34 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,561 ÷ 2,771,142 = 0.00165 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

210,673 X 0.00165 = 347 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

576 – 347 = 229

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

576 ÷ 347 = 1.6511

This reveals 229 lives lost and is 165.11% of what we expected (an increase of 65%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,617 ÷ 1,444,150 = 0.00250 (5-yr CDR)

210,673(2022 pop) X 0.00250 = 528 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

576 – 528 = 48 or 48 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

576 ÷ 528 = 1.0873 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,654,823 X 0.00165 = 2,724 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4193 – 2,724 = 1,469 or 1,469 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,193 ÷ 2,724 = 1.5302 or an increase of 53%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.