2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 80+ | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 80+ in Maryland

1. 9,865 of 9,865 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 9,628 of 9,628 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 237 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,662 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 80+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 9,865 of 49,451 elderly men aged 80+ living in Maryland died from All Causes.

9,865 ÷ 49,451 = 0.19949 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 106,665 deaths from All Causes among 547,871 elderly men aged 80+ living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

106,665 ÷ 547,871 = 0.19469 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

49,451 X 0.19469 = 9,628 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

9,865 – 9,628 = 237

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

9,865 ÷ 9,628 = 1.0246

This reveals 237 lives lost and is 102.46% of what we expected (an increase of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

62,383 ÷ 302,832 = 0.20600 (5-yr CDR)

49,451(2022 pop) X 0.20600 = 10,187 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9,865 – 10,187 = -322 or 322 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

9,865 ÷ 10,187 = 0.9684 or a decrease of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

352,283 X 0.19469 = 68,586 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

72248 – 68,586 = 3,662 or 3,662 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

72,248 ÷ 68,586 = 1.0533 or an increase of 5%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.