2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 25-29 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 25-29 in Maryland

1. 286 of 615 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 46.50% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 273 of 417 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 13 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 198 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 149 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,488 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Maryland’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 3% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 286 of 385,067 people aged 25-29 living in Maryland died from Unknown Causes.

286 ÷ 385,067 = 0.00074 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,974 deaths from Unknown Causes among 5,609,873 people aged 25-29 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,974 ÷ 5,609,873 = 0.00071 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

385,067 X 0.00071 = 273 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

286 – 273 = 13

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

286 ÷ 273 = 1.0339

This reveals 13 lives lost and is 103.39% of what we expected (an increase of 3%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,888 ÷ 2,893,954 = 0.00065 (5-yr CDR)

385,067(2022 pop) X 0.00065 = 251 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

286 – 251 = 35 or 35 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

286 ÷ 251 = 1.1213 or an increase of 12%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,279,021 X 0.00071 = 2,323 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2174 – 2,323 = -149 or 149 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,174 ÷ 2,323 = 0.9229 or a decrease of 8%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.