2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 65-69 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 65-69 in Maryland

1. 794 of 3,051 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 26.02% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 893 of 3,060 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 99 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 9 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 914 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,032 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Maryland’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 794 of 157,139 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Maryland died from Unknown Causes.

794 ÷ 157,139 = 0.00505 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 8,257 deaths from Unknown Causes among 1,452,743 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

8,257 ÷ 1,452,743 = 0.00568 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

157,139 X 0.00568 = 893 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

794 – 893 = -99

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

794 ÷ 893 = 0.8874

This reveals 99 lives saved and is 88.74% of what we expected (a decrease of 11%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,868 ÷ 999,933 = 0.00487 (5-yr CDR)

157,139(2022 pop) X 0.00487 = 765 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

794 – 765 = 29 or 29 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

794 ÷ 765 = 1.0358 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,157,072 X 0.00568 = 6,576 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5662 – 6,576 = -914 or 914 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,662 ÷ 6,576 = 0.8594 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.