2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Maryland

1. 8,334 of 29,159 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 28.58% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 7,641 of 23,707 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 693 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 5,452 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 2,914 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 29,498 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Maryland’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 9% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 8,334 of 2,961,128 men of all ages living in Maryland died from Unknown Causes.

8,334 ÷ 2,961,128 = 0.00281 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 104,782 deaths from Unknown Causes among 40,605,854 men of all ages living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

104,782 ÷ 40,605,854 = 0.00258 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,961,128 X 0.00258 = 7,641 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

8,334 – 7,641 = 693

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

8,334 ÷ 7,641 = 1.0865

This reveals 693 lives lost and is 108.65% of what we expected (an increase of 9%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

54,539 ÷ 20,274,638 = 0.00269 (5-yr CDR)

2,961,128(2022 pop) X 0.00269 = 7,965 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8,334 – 7,965 = 369 or 369 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

8,334 ÷ 7,965 = 1.0424 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

23,235,766 X 0.00258 = 59,959 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

62873 – 59,959 = 2,914 or 2,914 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

62,873 ÷ 59,959 = 1.0446 or an increase of 4%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.