2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – 65-69 | Massachusetts, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Massachusetts

1. 5,114 of 5,114 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,776 of 5,776 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 662 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 5,329 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 5,114 of 405,281 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts died from All Causes.

5,114 ÷ 405,281 = 0.01262 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 52,969 deaths from All Causes among 3,716,544 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

52,969 ÷ 3,716,544 = 0.01425 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

405,281 X 0.01425 = 5,776 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

5,114 – 5,776 = -662

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

5,114 ÷ 5,776 = 0.8847

This reveals 662 lives saved and is 88.47% of what we expected (a decrease of 12%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

32,291 ÷ 2,593,106 = 0.01245 (5-yr CDR)

405,281(2022 pop) X 0.01245 = 5,047 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5,114 – 5,047 = 67 or 67 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

5,114 ÷ 5,047 = 1.0125 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,998,387 X 0.01425 = 42,734 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

37405 – 42,734 = -5,329 or 5,329 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

37,405 ÷ 42,734 = 0.8747 or a decrease of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.