2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in Michigan
293 of 293 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is down 19% compared to Old Normal rates.
357 of 357 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
64 fewer deaths from All Causes in 2022.
315 fewer deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 19% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 293 of 638,504 teens aged 15-19 living in Michigan died from All Causes.
293 ÷ 638,504 = 0.00046 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Michigan teen-aged aged 15-19 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
719,867
462
462
|2001
725,098
445
445
|2002
727,968
454
454
|2003
734,052
401
401
|2004
740,672
476
476
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
752,673
428
428
|2006
760,901
413
413
|2007
765,941
439
439
|2008
761,676
392
392
|2009
752,479
405
405
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
739,599
397
397
|2011
715,135
398
398
|2012
697,010
383
383
|2013
685,494
318
318
|2014
676,633
315
315
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
10,955,198
6,126
6,126
The table shows there were a total of 6,126 deaths from All Causes among 10,955,198 teens aged 15-19 living in Michigan in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
6,126 ÷ 10,955,198 = 0.00056 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
638,504 X 0.00056 = 357 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
293 – 357 = -64
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
293 ÷ 357 = 0.8062
This reveals 64 lives saved and is 80.62% of what we expected (a decrease of 19%) in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Michigan in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
661,340
339
339
|2018
653,747
300
300
|2019
644,559
266
266
|2020
633,603
363
363
|2021
648,130
359
359
Total:
4,580,007
2,310
2,310
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
2,310 ÷ 4,580,007 = 0.00050 (5-yr CDR)
638,504(2022 pop) X 0.00050 = 322 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
293 – 322 = -29 or 29 lives saved
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
293 ÷ 322 = 0.8921 or a decrease of 11%
for deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Michigan in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
5,218,511 X 0.00056 = 2,918 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
2603 – 2,918 = -315 or 315 lives saved
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
2,603 ÷ 2,918 = 0.8763 or a decrease of 12%
in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Michigan in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
670,553
335
335
|2016
668,075
348
348
|2017
661,340
339
339
|2018
653,747
300
300
|2019
644,559
266
266
|2020
633,603
363
363
|2021
648,130
359
359
|2022
638,504
293
293
Total:
5,218,511
2,603
2,603
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
110,499 of the 110,499 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Michigan in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 25% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 9,834,962 individuals would have predicted 88,530 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 21,969 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Michigan in 2022.
To date, 128,585 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Michigan.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 21,969 lives and the 8-year loss of 128,585 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 650 of the 110,499 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 100.00% of the 650 total deaths in this group.
This is down 19% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 104,605 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 800 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 150 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 5,613 deaths from All Causes represent 1,066 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 150 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 5613 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 650 / 110,499
The next 140 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 99.99% of the 140 total deaths in this group.
This is up 17% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 431,820 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 116 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 24 more deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 982 deaths from All Causes represent 10 lives lost among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 24 more and the 8 year total of 982 more individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 790 / 110,499
The next 79 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.99% of the 79 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 581,738 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 80 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 618 deaths from All Causes represent 26 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 fewer and the 8 year total of 618 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 869 / 110,499
The next 110 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.99% of the 110 total deaths in this group.
This is up 0% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 606,735 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 104 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 6 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 851 deaths from All Causes represent 2 lives lost among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 6 more and the 8 year total of 851 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 979 / 110,499
The next 293 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 100.00% of the 293 total deaths in this group.
This is down 19% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 638,504 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 357 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 64 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 2,603 deaths from All Causes represent 315 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 64 fewer and the 8 year total of 2,603 fewer individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,272 / 110,499
The next 602 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 602 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 700,513 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 639 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 37 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 5,249 deaths from All Causes represent 188 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 37 fewer and the 8 year total of 5,249 fewer individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,874 / 110,499
The next 893 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 893 total deaths in this group.
This is up 28% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 650,018 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 694 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 199 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 7,474 deaths from All Causes represent 1,758 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 199 more and the 8 year total of 7,474 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,767 / 110,499
The next 1,254 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,254 total deaths in this group.
This is up 52% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 668,476 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 818 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 436 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 8,989 deaths from All Causes represent 2,934 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 436 more and the 8 year total of 8,989 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,021 / 110,499
The next 1,463 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,463 total deaths in this group.
This is up 51% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 608,578 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 961 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 502 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 10,243 deaths from All Causes represent 2,717 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 502 more and the 8 year total of 10,243 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,484 / 110,499
The next 1,849 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,849 total deaths in this group.
This is up 32% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 601,962 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 1,396 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 453 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 12,617 deaths from All Causes represent 1,855 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 453 more and the 8 year total of 12,617 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,333 / 110,499
The next 2,218 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,218 total deaths in this group.
This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 564,316 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 1,998 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 220 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 18,144 deaths from All Causes represent 739 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 220 more and the 8 year total of 18,144 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 9,551 / 110,499
The next 3,644 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,644 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 638,317 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 3,397 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 247 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 29,090 deaths from All Causes represent 744 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 247 more and the 8 year total of 29,090 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 13,195 / 110,499
The next 5,435 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 5,435 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 665,345 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 5,059 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 376 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 46,046 deaths from All Causes represent 2,972 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 376 more and the 8 year total of 46,046 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 18,630 / 110,499
The next 8,511 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 8,511 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 692,851 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 7,784 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 727 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 63,967 deaths from All Causes represent 2,708 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 727 more and the 8 year total of 63,967 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 27,141 / 110,499
The next 10,747 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 10,747 total deaths in this group.
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 623,738 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 10,549 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 198 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 77,455 deaths from All Causes represent 1,129 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 198 more and the 8 year total of 77,455 more individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 37,888 / 110,499
The next 12,611 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 12,611 total deaths in this group.
This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 499,543 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 13,233 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 622 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 87,912 deaths from All Causes represent 5,846 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 622 fewer and the 8 year total of 87,912 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 50,499 / 110,499
The next 13,850 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 13,850 total deaths in this group.
This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 346,559 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 14,626 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 776 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 95,364 deaths from All Causes represent 6,558 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 776 fewer and the 8 year total of 95,364 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 64,349 / 110,499
The next 14,186 of the 110,499 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 14,186 total deaths in this group.
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 211,344 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 14,324 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 138 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 103,318 deaths from All Causes represent 3,840 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 138 fewer and the 8 year total of 103,318 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 78,535 / 110,499
The next 46,150 of the 110,499 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 46,150 total deaths in this group.
This is up 8% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 211,344 would have predicted 42,777 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3,373 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Michigan in 2022.
Overall, 359,129 deaths from All Causes represent 39,118 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Michigan's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 359,129 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 124,685 / 110,499*
* Michigan does not report the deaths of 14,186 babies in it's death totals