2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Minnesota, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Minnesota

1. 51,222 of 51,222 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 21% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 42,278 of 42,278 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 8,944 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 43,555 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 21% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 51,222 of 5,595,216 individuals of all ages living in Minnesota died from All Causes.

51,222 ÷ 5,595,216 = 0.00915 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 577,873 deaths from All Causes among 76,476,819 individuals of all ages living in Minnesota in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

577,873 ÷ 76,476,819 = 0.00756 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

5,595,216 X 0.00756 = 42,278 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

51,222 – 42,278 = 8,944

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

51,222 ÷ 42,278 = 1.2099

This reveals 8,944 lives lost and is 120.99% of what we expected (an increase of 21%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Minnesota in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

324,517 ÷ 38,366,608 = 0.00846 (5-yr CDR)

5,595,216(2022 pop) X 0.00846 = 47,326 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

51,222 – 47,326 = 3,896 or 3,896 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

51,222 ÷ 47,326 = 1.0810 or an increase of 8%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Minnesota in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

43,961,824 X 0.00756 = 332,184 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

375739 – 332,184 = 43,555 or 43,555 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

375,739 ÷ 332,184 = 1.1296 or an increase of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Minnesota in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.