2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in Montana
74 of 74 total deaths were from All Causes
99.99% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 30% compared to Old Normal rates.
56 of 56 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
18 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
32 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 30% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 74 of 68,745 teens aged 15-19 living in Montana died from All Causes.
74 ÷ 68,745 = 0.00108 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Montana teen-aged aged 15-19 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
71,310
70
70
|2001
73,341
36
36
|2002
72,341
72
72
|2003
72,218
74
74
|2004
71,542
73
73
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
71,130
60
60
|2006
70,498
56
56
|2007
70,106
54
54
|2008
69,350
47
47
|2009
68,117
56
56
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
66,724
57
57
|2011
66,748
47
47
|2012
64,985
37
37
|2013
64,283
53
53
|2014
33,356
30
30
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
1,006,049
822
822
The table shows there were a total of 822 deaths from All Causes among 1,006,049 teens aged 15-19 living in Montana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
822 ÷ 1,006,049 = 0.00082 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
68,745 X 0.00082 = 56 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
74 – 56 = 18
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
74 ÷ 56 = 1.3015
This reveals 18 lives lost and is 130.15% of what we expected (an increase of 30%) in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Montana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
63,440
43
43
|2018
64,023
49
49
|2019
63,955
53
53
|2020
64,601
52
52
|2021
67,819
84
84
Total:
451,323
383
383
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
383 ÷ 451,323 = 0.00085 (5-yr CDR)
68,745(2022 pop) X 0.00085 = 58 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
74 – 58 = 16 or 16 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
74 ÷ 58 = 1.2537 or an increase of 25%
for deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Montana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
520,068 X 0.00082 = 425 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
457 – 425 = 32 or 32 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
457 ÷ 425 = 1.0625 or an increase of 6%
in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Montana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
63,846
52
52
|2016
63,639
50
50
|2017
63,440
43
43
|2018
64,023
49
49
|2019
63,955
53
53
|2020
64,601
52
52
|2021
67,819
84
84
|2022
68,745
74
74
Total:
520,068
457
457
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
11,655 of the 11,655 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Montana in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 13% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 954,860 individuals would have predicted 10,276 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 1,379 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Montana in 2022.
To date, 8,948 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Montana.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 1,379 lives and the 8-year loss of 8,948 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 53 of the 11,655 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 99.98% of the 53 total deaths in this group.
This is down 24% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 11,201 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 70 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 17 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 485 deaths from All Causes represent 105 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 17 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 485 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 53 / 11,655
The next 0 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 0 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 46 deaths from All Causes represent 0 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 46 fewer individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 53 / 11,655
The next 0 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 0 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 0 deaths from All Causes represent 0 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 0 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 53 / 11,655
The next 13 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.92% of the 13 total deaths in this group.
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 35,126 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 13 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 61 deaths from All Causes represent 1 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 more and the 8 year total of 61 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 66 / 11,655
The next 74 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.99% of the 74 total deaths in this group.
This is up 30% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 68,745 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 56 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 18 more deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 457 deaths from All Causes represent 32 lives lost among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 18 more and the 8 year total of 457 more individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 140 / 11,655
The next 74 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 99.99% of the 74 total deaths in this group.
This is down 19% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 78,328 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 90 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 16 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 628 deaths from All Causes represent 50 lives saved among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 16 fewer and the 8 year total of 628 fewer individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 214 / 11,655
The next 114 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 99.99% of the 114 total deaths in this group.
This is up 23% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 72,428 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 92 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 22 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 795 deaths from All Causes represent 83 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 22 more and the 8 year total of 795 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 328 / 11,655
The next 164 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 99.99% of the 164 total deaths in this group.
This is up 61% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 74,433 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 101 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 63 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 1,014 deaths from All Causes represent 274 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 63 more and the 8 year total of 1,014 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 492 / 11,655
The next 194 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 99.99% of the 194 total deaths in this group.
This is up 48% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 72,812 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 130 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 64 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 1,174 deaths from All Causes represent 209 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 64 more and the 8 year total of 1,174 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 686 / 11,655
The next 215 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 215 total deaths in this group.
This is up 30% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 71,407 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 165 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 50 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 1,360 deaths from All Causes represent 221 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 50 more and the 8 year total of 1,360 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 901 / 11,655
The next 207 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 207 total deaths in this group.
This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 60,969 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 199 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 8 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 1,691 deaths from All Causes represent 155 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 8 more and the 8 year total of 1,691 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,108 / 11,655
The next 348 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 348 total deaths in this group.
This is up 19% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 62,325 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 291 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 57 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 2,731 deaths from All Causes represent 376 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 57 more and the 8 year total of 2,731 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,456 / 11,655
The next 542 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 542 total deaths in this group.
This is up 22% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 66,707 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 442 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 100 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 4,474 deaths from All Causes represent 601 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 100 more and the 8 year total of 4,474 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,998 / 11,655
The next 847 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 847 total deaths in this group.
This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 77,859 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 768 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 79 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 6,384 deaths from All Causes represent 330 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 79 more and the 8 year total of 6,384 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,845 / 11,655
The next 1,086 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,086 total deaths in this group.
This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 74,961 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 1,126 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 40 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 7,817 deaths from All Causes represent 512 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 40 fewer and the 8 year total of 7,817 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,931 / 11,655
The next 1,309 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,309 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 61,806 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 1,507 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 198 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 9,312 deaths from All Causes represent 963 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 198 fewer and the 8 year total of 9,312 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,240 / 11,655
The next 1,524 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,524 total deaths in this group.
This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 41,221 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 1,612 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 88 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 10,392 deaths from All Causes represent 561 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 88 fewer and the 8 year total of 10,392 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 6,764 / 11,655
The next 1,597 of the 11,655 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,597 total deaths in this group.
This is down 0% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 24,532 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 1,603 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 6 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 11,246 deaths from All Causes represent 401 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 6 fewer and the 8 year total of 11,246 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 8,361 / 11,655
The next 4,891 of the 11,655 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,891 total deaths in this group.
This is down 3% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 24,532 would have predicted 5,041 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 150 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Montana in 2022.
Overall, 37,820 deaths from All Causes represent 1,208 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Montana's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 37,820 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 13,252 / 11,655*
* Montana does not report the deaths of 1,597 babies in it's death totals
![Graph showing Populalation - Teen-aged - Aged 15-19 - [2000-2022] | Montana, United-states](/wp-content/plugins/dfuc-display/charts/united-states/montana/2022/all/Both Sexes/15-19-pop.png)
