2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 75-79 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in New York

1. 10,895 of 10,895 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 12,918 of 12,918 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,023 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 10,657 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 10,895 of 286,594 elderly men aged 75-79 living in New York died from All Causes.

10,895 ÷ 286,594 = 0.03802 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 139,024 deaths from All Causes among 3,084,246 elderly men aged 75-79 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

139,024 ÷ 3,084,246 = 0.04508 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

286,594 X 0.04508 = 12,918 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

10,895 – 12,918 = -2,023

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

10,895 ÷ 12,918 = 0.8432

This reveals 2,023 lives saved and is 84.32% of what we expected (a decrease of 16%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

66,570 ÷ 1,668,402 = 0.03990 (5-yr CDR)

286,594(2022 pop) X 0.03990 = 11,435 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10,895 – 11,435 = -540 or 540 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

10,895 ÷ 11,435 = 0.9525 or a decrease of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,954,996 X 0.04508 = 88,122 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

77465 – 88,122 = -10,657 or 10,657 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

77,465 ÷ 88,122 = 0.8789 or a decrease of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.