2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | North Dakota, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in North Dakota

1. 7,006 of 7,006 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 6,870 of 6,870 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 136 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 223 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 7,006 of 592,001 individuals of all ages living in North Dakota died from All Causes.

7,006 ÷ 592,001 = 0.01183 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 88,359 deaths from All Causes among 7,613,792 individuals of all ages living in North Dakota in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

88,359 ÷ 7,613,792 = 0.01161 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

592,001 X 0.01161 = 6,870 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

7,006 – 6,870 = 136

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

7,006 ÷ 6,870 = 1.0189

This reveals 136 lives lost and is 101.89% of what we expected (an increase of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in North Dakota in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

47,147 ÷ 4,093,507 = 0.01152 (5-yr CDR)

592,001(2022 pop) X 0.01152 = 6,818 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7,006 – 6,818 = 188 or 188 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

7,006 ÷ 6,818 = 1.0266 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in North Dakota in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,685,508 X 0.01161 = 54,376 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

54153 – 54,376 = -223 or 223 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

54,153 ÷ 54,376 = 0.9950 or a decrease of 0%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in North Dakota in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.