2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | South Carolina, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in South Carolina

1. 61,052 of 61,052 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 28% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 47,808 of 47,808 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 13,244 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 64,656 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 28% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 61,052 of 5,190,003 individuals of all ages living in South Carolina died from All Causes.

61,052 ÷ 5,190,003 = 0.01176 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 601,180 deaths from All Causes among 65,263,610 individuals of all ages living in South Carolina in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

601,180 ÷ 65,263,610 = 0.00921 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

5,190,003 X 0.00921 = 47,808 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

61,052 – 47,808 = 13,244

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

61,052 ÷ 47,808 = 1.2756

This reveals 13,244 lives lost and is 127.56% of what we expected (an increase of 28%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in South Carolina in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

373,007 ÷ 34,912,092 = 0.01068 (5-yr CDR)

5,190,003(2022 pop) X 0.01068 = 55,451 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

61,052 – 55,451 = 5,601 or 5,601 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

61,052 ÷ 55,451 = 1.1000 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in South Carolina in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

40,102,095 X 0.00921 = 369,403 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

434059 – 369,403 = 64,656 or 64,656 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

434,059 ÷ 369,403 = 1.1738 or an increase of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in South Carolina in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.