2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Tennessee, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Tennessee

1. 84,988 of 84,988 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 67,180 of 67,180 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 17,808 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 89,025 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 84,988 of 6,932,104 individuals of all ages living in Tennessee died from All Causes.

84,988 ÷ 6,932,104 = 0.01226 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 878,543 deaths from All Causes among 90,653,690 individuals of all ages living in Tennessee in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

878,543 ÷ 90,653,690 = 0.00969 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

6,932,104 X 0.00969 = 67,180 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

84,988 – 67,180 = 17,808

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

84,988 ÷ 67,180 = 1.2638

This reveals 17,808 lives lost and is 126.38% of what we expected (an increase of 26%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Tennessee in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

522,868 ÷ 46,604,166 = 0.01122 (5-yr CDR)

6,932,104(2022 pop) X 0.01122 = 77,774 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

84,988 – 77,774 = 7,214 or 7,214 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

84,988 ÷ 77,774 = 1.0918 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Tennessee in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

53,536,270 X 0.00969 = 518,831 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

607856 – 518,831 = 89,025 or 89,025 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

607,856 ÷ 518,831 = 1.1704 or an increase of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Tennessee in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.