2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 1-4 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for pre-school girls aged 1-4 in United States

1. 1,803 of 1,803 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,857 of 1,857 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 54 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,300 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many pre-school girls aged 1-4 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,803 of 7,263,012 pre-school girls aged 1-4 living in United States died from All Causes.

1,803 ÷ 7,263,012 = 0.00025 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 29,755 deaths from All Causes among 116,399,341 pre-school girls aged 1-4 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

29,755 ÷ 116,399,341 = 0.00026 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

7,263,012 X 0.00026 = 1,857 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,803 – 1,857 = -54

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,803 ÷ 1,857 = 0.9346

This reveals 54 lives saved and is 93.46% of what we expected (a decrease of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among pre-school girls aged 1-4 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

11,557 ÷ 53,997,212 = 0.00021 (5-yr CDR)

7,263,012(2022 pop) X 0.00021 = 1,554 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,803 – 1,554 = 249 or 249 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,803 ÷ 1,554 = 1.1081 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among pre-school girls aged 1-4 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

61,260,224 X 0.00026 = 15,660 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

13360 – 15,660 = -2,300 or 2,300 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

13,360 ÷ 15,660 = 0.8210 or a decrease of 18%

in deaths from All Causes among pre-school girls aged 1-4 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.