2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – 1-4 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for pre-schoolers aged 1-4 in United States

1. 4,156 of 4,156 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,284 of 4,284 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 128 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 5,245 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 6% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many pre-schoolers aged 1-4 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,156 of 14,855,240 pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States died from All Causes.

4,156 ÷ 14,855,240 = 0.00028 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 68,642 deaths from All Causes among 238,022,917 pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

68,642 ÷ 238,022,917 = 0.00029 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

14,855,240 X 0.00029 = 4,284 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,156 – 4,284 = -128

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,156 ÷ 4,284 = 0.9376

This reveals 128 lives saved and is 93.76% of what we expected (a decrease of 6%) in deaths from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

26,741 ÷ 110,470,525 = 0.00024 (5-yr CDR)

14,855,240(2022 pop) X 0.00024 = 3,596 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,156 – 3,596 = 560 or 560 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,156 ÷ 3,596 = 1.1099 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

125,325,765 X 0.00029 = 36,142 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

30897 – 36,142 = -5,245 or 5,245 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

30,897 ÷ 36,142 = 0.8262 or a decrease of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.