2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 20-24 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 20-24 in United States

1. 6,030 of 6,030 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,134 of 5,134 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 896 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 5,249 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,030 of 11,103,791 women aged 20-24 living in United States died from All Causes.

6,030 ÷ 11,103,791 = 0.00054 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 71,858 deaths from All Causes among 155,420,400 women aged 20-24 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

71,858 ÷ 155,420,400 = 0.00046 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,103,791 X 0.00046 = 5,134 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,030 – 5,134 = 896

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,030 ÷ 5,134 = 1.1497

This reveals 896 lives lost and is 114.97% of what we expected (an increase of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 20-24 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

39,067 ÷ 75,083,803 = 0.00052 (5-yr CDR)

11,103,791(2022 pop) X 0.00052 = 5,777 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,030 – 5,777 = 253 or 253 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,030 ÷ 5,777 = 1.0240 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 20-24 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

86,187,594 X 0.00046 = 39,848 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

45097 – 39,848 = 5,249 or 5,249 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

45,097 ÷ 39,848 = 1.1078 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 20-24 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.