2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 35-39 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 35-39 in United States

1. 16,595 of 16,595 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 38% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 11,902 of 11,902 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 4,693 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 21,458 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 38% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 16,595 of 10,965,649 women aged 35-39 living in United States died from All Causes.

16,595 ÷ 10,965,649 = 0.00151 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 169,571 deaths from All Causes among 156,224,749 women aged 35-39 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

169,571 ÷ 156,224,749 = 0.00109 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,965,649 X 0.00109 = 11,902 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

16,595 – 11,902 = 4,693

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

16,595 ÷ 11,902 = 1.3815

This reveals 4,693 lives lost and is 138.15% of what we expected (an increase of 38%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 35-39 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

97,920 ÷ 74,766,814 = 0.00131 (5-yr CDR)

10,965,649(2022 pop) X 0.00131 = 14,361 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

16,595 – 14,361 = 2,234 or 2,234 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

16,595 ÷ 14,361 = 1.1468 or an increase of 15%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 35-39 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

85,732,463 X 0.00109 = 93,057 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

114515 – 93,057 = 21,458 or 21,458 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

114,515 ÷ 93,057 = 1.2194 or an increase of 22%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 35-39 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.