2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 35-39 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in United States

1. 50,472 of 50,472 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 50% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 33,408 of 33,408 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 17,064 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 76,641 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 50% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 50,472 of 22,267,949 people aged 35-39 living in United States died from All Causes.

50,472 ÷ 22,267,949 = 0.00227 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 467,563 deaths from All Causes among 311,649,214 people aged 35-39 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

467,563 ÷ 311,649,214 = 0.00150 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

22,267,949 X 0.00150 = 33,408 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

50,472 – 33,408 = 17,064

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

50,472 ÷ 33,408 = 1.5008

This reveals 17,064 lives lost and is 150.08% of what we expected (an increase of 50%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

284,334 ÷ 149,809,217 = 0.00190 (5-yr CDR)

22,267,949(2022 pop) X 0.00190 = 42,264 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

50,472 – 42,264 = 8,208 or 8,208 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

50,472 ÷ 42,264 = 1.1879 or an increase of 19%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

172,077,166 X 0.00150 = 258,165 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

334806 – 258,165 = 76,641 or 76,641 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

334,806 ÷ 258,165 = 1.2883 or an increase of 29%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.