2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 60-64 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 60-64 in United States

1. 98,462 of 98,462 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 90,407 of 90,407 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 8,055 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 13,662 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 9% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 98,462 of 10,820,443 women aged 60-64 living in United States died from All Causes.

98,462 ÷ 10,820,443 = 0.00910 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 960,109 deaths from All Causes among 114,911,434 women aged 60-64 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

960,109 ÷ 114,911,434 = 0.00836 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,820,443 X 0.00836 = 90,407 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

98,462 – 90,407 = 8,055

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

98,462 ÷ 90,407 = 1.0878

This reveals 8,055 lives lost and is 108.78% of what we expected (an increase of 9%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

620,489 ÷ 73,592,614 = 0.00843 (5-yr CDR)

10,820,443(2022 pop) X 0.00843 = 91,232 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

98,462 – 91,232 = 7,230 or 7,230 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

98,462 ÷ 91,232 = 1.0780 or an increase of 8%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

84,413,057 X 0.00836 = 705,289 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

718951 – 705,289 = 13,662 or 13,662 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

718,951 ÷ 705,289 = 1.0182 or an increase of 2%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.