2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 80+ | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 80+ in United States

1. 772,703 of 772,703 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 755,654 of 755,654 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 17,049 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 320,691 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 80+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 772,703 of 3,834,386 elderly women aged 80+ living in United States died from All Causes.

772,703 ÷ 3,834,386 = 0.20152 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,011,477 deaths from All Causes among 50,800,831 elderly women aged 80+ living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,011,477 ÷ 50,800,831 = 0.19707 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

3,834,386 X 0.19707 = 755,654 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

772,703 – 755,654 = 17,049

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

772,703 ÷ 755,654 = 1.0225

This reveals 17,049 lives lost and is 102.25% of what we expected (an increase of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 80+ living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,181,210 ÷ 24,750,041 = 0.20934 (5-yr CDR)

3,834,386(2022 pop) X 0.20934 = 802,696 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

772,703 – 802,696 = -29,993 or 29,993 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

772,703 ÷ 802,696 = 0.9626 or a decrease of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 80+ living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

28,584,427 X 0.19707 = 5,633,222 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5953913 – 5,633,222 = 320,691 or 320,691 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,953,913 ÷ 5,633,222 = 1.0569 or an increase of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 80+ living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.