2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 20-24 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 20-24 in United States

1. 16,457 of 16,457 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 15,665 of 15,665 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 792 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 6,292 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 16,457 of 11,601,988 men aged 20-24 living in United States died from All Causes.

16,457 ÷ 11,601,988 = 0.00142 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 219,610 deaths from All Causes among 162,651,369 men aged 20-24 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

219,610 ÷ 162,651,369 = 0.00135 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,601,988 X 0.00135 = 15,665 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

16,457 – 15,665 = 792

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

16,457 ÷ 15,665 = 1.0428

This reveals 792 lives lost and is 104.28% of what we expected (an increase of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

111,868 ÷ 78,780,444 = 0.00142 (5-yr CDR)

11,601,988(2022 pop) X 0.00142 = 16,475 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

16,457 – 16,475 = -18 or 18 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

16,457 ÷ 16,475 = 0.9919 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

90,382,432 X 0.00135 = 122,033 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

128325 – 122,033 = 6,292 or 6,292 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

128,325 ÷ 122,033 = 1.0438 or an increase of 4%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.