2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 65-69 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 65-69 in United States

1. 180,725 of 180,725 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 175,671 of 175,671 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 5,054 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 14,430 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 3% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 180,725 of 8,873,901 elderly men aged 65-69 living in United States died from All Causes.

180,725 ÷ 8,873,901 = 0.02037 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,609,564 deaths from All Causes among 81,305,868 elderly men aged 65-69 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,609,564 ÷ 81,305,868 = 0.01980 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

8,873,901 X 0.01980 = 175,671 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

180,725 – 175,671 = 5,054

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

180,725 ÷ 175,671 = 1.0282

This reveals 5,054 lives lost and is 102.82% of what we expected (an increase of 3%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,105,667 ÷ 56,836,127 = 0.01945 (5-yr CDR)

8,873,901(2022 pop) X 0.01945 = 172,629 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

180,725 – 172,629 = 8,096 or 8,096 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

180,725 ÷ 172,629 = 1.0464 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

65,710,028 X 0.01980 = 1,300,822 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1286392 – 1,300,822 = -14,430 or 14,430 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,286,392 ÷ 1,300,822 = 0.9884 or a decrease of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.