Excess Deaths
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- There were a total of 3,279,754 deaths in United States in 2022
- 1,719,163 of all deaths were among males
- 1,350,602 of all deaths were among those aged 80+
- 577,899 of all deaths were among elderly men aged 80+
577,899 deaths from All Causes were among elderly men aged 80+
2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 80+ in United States
- 577,899 of 577,899 total deaths were from All Causes
- 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
- This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates.
- 551,913 of 551,913 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
- 25,986 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
- 206,551 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
- To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 5% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
- “How many elderly men aged 80+ were there?” and
- “How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 80+ | United States, United-states
Population – Male – Aged 80+ – [2000-2022] | United States, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 577,899 of 2,825,159 elderly men aged 80+ living in United States died from All Causes.
577,899 ÷ 2,825,159 = 0.20455 (2022 CDR)
Deaths/100,000 Male 80+ from All Causes
The table shows there were a total of 6,398,050 deaths from All Causes among 32,750,625 elderly men aged 80+ living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
6,398,050 ÷ 32,750,625 = 0.19536 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
2,825,159 X 0.19536 = 551,913 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
577,899 – 551,913 = 25,986
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
577,899 ÷ 551,913 = 1.0470
This reveals 25,986 lives lost and is 104.70% of what we expected (an increase of 5%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
3,714,715 ÷ 18,090,764 = 0.20534 (5-yr CDR)
2,825,159(2022 pop) X 0.20534 = 580,112 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
577,899 – 580,112 = -2,213 or 2,213 lives saved
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
577,899 ÷ 580,112 = 0.9961 or a decrease of 0%
for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
20,915,923 X 0.19536 = 4,086,063 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
4292614 – 4,086,063 = 206,551 or 206,551 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
4,292,614 ÷ 4,086,063 = 1.0505 or an increase of 5%
in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
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