2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 70-74 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 70-74 in United States

1. 4,612 of 204,260 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 2.26% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 6,165 of 215,318 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,553 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 11,058 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 9,980 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 119,236 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,612 of 7,036,771 elderly men aged 70-74 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

4,612 ÷ 7,036,771 = 0.00066 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 54,876 deaths from Unknown Causes among 62,640,419 elderly men aged 70-74 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

54,876 ÷ 62,640,419 = 0.00088 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

7,036,771 X 0.00088 = 6,165 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,612 – 6,165 = -1,553

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,612 ÷ 6,165 = 0.7397

This reveals 1,553 lives saved and is 73.97% of what we expected (a decrease of 26%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

29,525 ÷ 43,322,760 = 0.00068 (5-yr CDR)

7,036,771(2022 pop) X 0.00068 = 4,796 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,612 – 4,796 = -184 or 184 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,612 ÷ 4,796 = 0.9478 or a decrease of 5%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

50,359,531 X 0.00088 = 44,117 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

34137 – 44,117 = -9,980 or 9,980 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

34,137 ÷ 44,117 = 0.7650 or a decrease of 23%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.