2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 70-74 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 70-74 in United States

1. 8,765 of 362,416 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 2.42% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 24% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 11,447 of 380,527 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,682 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 18,111 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 16,658 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 202,476 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 24% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 8,765 of 15,157,017 elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

8,765 ÷ 15,157,017 = 0.00058 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 104,449 deaths from Unknown Causes among 138,302,334 elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

104,449 ÷ 138,302,334 = 0.00076 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

15,157,017 X 0.00076 = 11,447 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

8,765 – 11,447 = -2,682

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

8,765 ÷ 11,447 = 0.7557

This reveals 2,682 lives saved and is 75.57% of what we expected (a decrease of 24%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

56,654 ÷ 93,521,749 = 0.00061 (5-yr CDR)

15,157,017(2022 pop) X 0.00061 = 9,182 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8,765 – 9,182 = -417 or 417 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

8,765 ÷ 9,182 = 0.9391 or a decrease of 6%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

108,678,766 X 0.00076 = 82,077 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

65419 – 82,077 = -16,658 or 16,658 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

65,419 ÷ 82,077 = 0.7866 or a decrease of 21%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.