2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | West Virginia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in West Virginia

1. 27,489 of 27,489 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 38% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 19,942 of 19,942 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 7,547 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 37,801 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 38% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 27,489 of 1,601,955 individuals of all ages living in West Virginia died from All Causes.

27,489 ÷ 1,601,955 = 0.01716 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 319,595 deaths from All Causes among 25,673,107 individuals of all ages living in West Virginia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

319,595 ÷ 25,673,107 = 0.01245 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,601,955 X 0.01245 = 19,942 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

27,489 – 19,942 = 7,547

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

27,489 ÷ 19,942 = 1.3773

This reveals 7,547 lives lost and is 137.73% of what we expected (an increase of 38%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in West Virginia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

171,108 ÷ 11,314,827 = 0.01512 (5-yr CDR)

1,601,955(2022 pop) X 0.01512 = 24,225 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

27,489 – 24,225 = 3,264 or 3,264 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

27,489 ÷ 24,225 = 1.1340 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in West Virginia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

12,916,782 X 0.01245 = 160,796 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

198597 – 160,796 = 37,801 or 37,801 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

198,597 ÷ 160,796 = 1.2341 or an increase of 23%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in West Virginia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.