2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 60-64 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in United States

1. 150,756 of 150,756 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 138,555 of 138,555 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 12,201 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 58,963 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 9% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 150,756 of 10,297,980 men aged 60-64 living in United States died from All Causes.

150,756 ÷ 10,297,980 = 0.01464 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,418,411 deaths from All Causes among 105,422,132 men aged 60-64 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,418,411 ÷ 105,422,132 = 0.01345 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,297,980 X 0.01345 = 138,555 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

150,756 – 138,555 = 12,201

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

150,756 ÷ 138,555 = 1.0873

This reveals 12,201 lives lost and is 108.73% of what we expected (an increase of 9%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

960,155 ÷ 67,887,126 = 0.01414 (5-yr CDR)

10,297,980(2022 pop) X 0.01414 = 145,648 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

150,756 – 145,648 = 5,108 or 5,108 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

150,756 ÷ 145,648 = 1.0343 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

78,185,106 X 0.01345 = 1,051,948 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1110911 – 1,051,948 = 58,963 or 58,963 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,110,911 ÷ 1,051,948 = 1.0553 or an increase of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.