Excess Deaths
- References
- Deaths: Data Notes
- Population: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
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62,294 deaths from All Causes were among individuals of all ages
2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Alabama
- 62,294 of 62,294 total deaths were from All Causes
- 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
- This is up 21% compared to Old Normal rates.
- 51,536 of 51,536 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
- 10,758 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
- 61,512 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
- To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 21% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
- “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
- “How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Of All Ages | Alabama, United-states
Population – Both Sexes – Of All Ages – [2000-2022] | Alabama, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 62,294 of 4,980,925 individuals of all ages living in Alabama died from All Causes.
62,294 ÷ 4,980,925 = 0.01251 (2022 CDR)
The table shows there were a total of 711,629 deaths from All Causes among 68,779,102 individuals of all ages living in Alabama in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
711,629 ÷ 68,779,102 = 0.01035 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
4,980,925 X 0.01035 = 51,536 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
62,294 – 51,536 = 10,758
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
62,294 ÷ 51,536 = 1.2076
This reveals 10,758 lives lost and is 120.76% of what we expected (an increase of 21%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
399,740 ÷ 33,729,651 = 0.01185 (5-yr CDR)
4,980,925(2022 pop) X 0.01185 = 59,030 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
62,294 – 59,030 = 3,264 or 3,264 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
62,294 ÷ 59,030 = 1.0544 or an increase of 5%
for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
38,710,576 X 0.01035 = 400,522 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
462034 – 400,522 = 61,512 or 61,512 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
462,034 ÷ 400,522 = 1.1525 or an increase of 15%
in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alabama in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Return to the top of the page to select another age category.
Deaths/100,000 both sexes GrandTotal from All Causes
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