2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 45-49 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 45-49 in Canada

1. 605 of 3,231 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 18.72% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 443% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 99 of 3,038 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 506 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 193 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,324 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,083 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 443% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 45-49 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 605 of 1,190,306 men aged 45-49 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

605 ÷ 1,190,306 = 0.00051 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,633 deaths from Unknown Causes among 19,539,220 men aged 45-49 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,633 ÷ 19,539,220 = 0.00008 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,190,306 X 0.00008 = 99 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

605 – 99 = 506

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

605 ÷ 99 = 5.4317

This reveals 506 lives lost and is 543.17% of what we expected (an increase of 443%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 45-49 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,519 ÷ 8,386,357 = 0.00018 (5-yr CDR)

1,190,306(2022 pop) X 0.00018 = 216 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

605 – 216 = 389 or 389 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

605 ÷ 216 = 2.6593 or an increase of 166%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 45-49 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,576,663 X 0.00008 = 800 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2124 – 800 = 1,324 or 1,324 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,124 ÷ 800 = 2.3702 or an increase of 137%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 45-49 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.