2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – 60-64 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 60-64 in Canada

1. 416 of 7,942 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 5.24% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 319% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 86 of 8,419 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 330 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 477 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 772 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 5,832 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 319% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 416 of 1,340,258 women aged 60-64 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

416 ÷ 1,340,258 = 0.00031 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 835 deaths from Unknown Causes among 13,044,048 women aged 60-64 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

835 ÷ 13,044,048 = 0.00006 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,340,258 X 0.00006 = 86 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

416 – 86 = 330

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

416 ÷ 86 = 4.1936

This reveals 330 lives lost and is 419.36% of what we expected (an increase of 319%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

998 ÷ 8,682,186 = 0.00011 (5-yr CDR)

1,340,258(2022 pop) X 0.00011 = 154 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

416 – 154 = 262 or 262 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

416 ÷ 154 = 2.4841 or an increase of 148%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,022,444 X 0.00006 = 642 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1414 – 642 = 772 or 772 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,414 ÷ 642 = 1.9062 or an increase of 91%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.