2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in Canada

1. 1,428 of 20,266 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 7.05% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 433% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 241 of 21,660 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,187 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 1,394 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 2,879 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 16,485 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 433% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,428 of 2,640,008 people aged 60-64 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,428 ÷ 2,640,008 = 0.00054 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,348 deaths from Unknown Causes among 25,687,451 people aged 60-64 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,348 ÷ 25,687,451 = 0.00009 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,640,008 X 0.00009 = 241 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,428 – 241 = 1,187

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,428 ÷ 241 = 5.3341

This reveals 1,187 lives lost and is 533.41% of what we expected (an increase of 433%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,254 ÷ 17,082,003 = 0.00019 (5-yr CDR)

2,640,008(2022 pop) X 0.00019 = 503 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,428 – 503 = 925 or 925 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,428 ÷ 503 = 2.6979 or an increase of 170%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,722,011 X 0.00009 = 1,803 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4682 – 1,803 = 2,879 or 2,879 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,682 ÷ 1,803 = 2.3411 or an increase of 134%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.