2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – All Ages | Alberta, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Alberta

1. 680 of 15,123 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.50% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 343% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 131 of 12,610 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 549 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 2,513 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 2,578 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 5,738 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Alberta’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 343% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 680 of 2,261,096 women of all ages living in Alberta died from Unknown Causes.

680 ÷ 2,261,096 = 0.00030 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,414 deaths from Unknown Causes among 24,442,676 women of all ages living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,414 ÷ 24,442,676 = 0.00006 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,261,096 X 0.00006 = 131 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

680 – 131 = 549

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

680 ÷ 131 = 4.4324

This reveals 549 lives lost and is 443.24% of what we expected (an increase of 343%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,893 ÷ 14,935,308 = 0.00019 (5-yr CDR)

2,261,096(2022 pop) X 0.00019 = 438 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

680 – 438 = 242 or 242 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

680 ÷ 438 = 1.4764 or an increase of 48%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

17,196,404 X 0.00006 = 995 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3573 – 995 = 2,578 or 2,578 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,573 ÷ 995 = 3.0623 or an increase of 206%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.