2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Alberta, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Alberta

1. 2,033 of 32,823 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.19% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 512% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 287 of 26,219 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,746 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 6,604 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 8,516 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 20,008 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Alberta’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 512% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,033 of 4,543,111 individuals of all ages living in Alberta died from Unknown Causes.

2,033 ÷ 4,543,111 = 0.00045 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,132 deaths from Unknown Causes among 49,600,790 individuals of all ages living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,132 ÷ 49,600,790 = 0.00006 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,543,111 X 0.00006 = 287 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,033 – 287 = 1,746

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,033 ÷ 287 = 6.1179

This reveals 1,746 lives lost and is 611.79% of what we expected (an increase of 512%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

8,671 ÷ 30,102,958 = 0.00029 (5-yr CDR)

4,543,111(2022 pop) X 0.00029 = 1,309 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,033 – 1,309 = 724 or 724 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,033 ÷ 1,309 = 1.5014 or an increase of 50%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

34,646,069 X 0.00006 = 2,188 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10704 – 2,188 = 8,516 or 8,516 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,704 ÷ 2,188 = 4.2239 or an increase of 322%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.