2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 55-59 | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 55-59 in Ontario

1. 361 of 3,200 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 11.28% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 514% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 54 of 3,283 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 307 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 83 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 801 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 2,262 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Ontario’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 514% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 361 of 514,199 men aged 55-59 living in Ontario died from Unknown Causes.

361 ÷ 514,199 = 0.00070 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 602 deaths from Unknown Causes among 5,767,468 men aged 55-59 living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

602 ÷ 5,767,468 = 0.00010 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

514,199 X 0.00010 = 54 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

361 – 54 = 307

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

361 ÷ 54 = 6.1381

This reveals 307 lives lost and is 613.81% of what we expected (an increase of 514%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

870 ÷ 3,603,491 = 0.00024 (5-yr CDR)

514,199(2022 pop) X 0.00024 = 124 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

361 – 124 = 237 or 237 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

361 ÷ 124 = 2.7923 or an increase of 179%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,117,690 X 0.00010 = 430 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1231 – 430 = 801 or 801 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,231 ÷ 430 = 2.6137 or an increase of 161%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.