2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 40-44 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 40-44 in United States

1. 3,124 of 39,609 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 7.89% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 3,159 of 30,027 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 35 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 9,582 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 316 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 29,534 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,124 of 10,817,889 men aged 40-44 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

3,124 ÷ 10,817,889 = 0.00029 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 47,478 deaths from Unknown Causes among 162,597,027 men aged 40-44 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

47,478 ÷ 162,597,027 = 0.00029 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,817,889 X 0.00029 = 3,159 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,124 – 3,159 = -35

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,124 ÷ 3,159 = 0.9562

This reveals 35 lives saved and is 95.62% of what we expected (a decrease of 4%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

20,149 ÷ 69,966,198 = 0.00029 (5-yr CDR)

10,817,889(2022 pop) X 0.00029 = 3,115 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,124 – 3,115 = 9 or 9 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,124 ÷ 3,115 = 0.9691 or a decrease of 3%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

80,784,087 X 0.00029 = 23,589 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

23273 – 23,589 = -316 or 316 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

23,273 ÷ 23,589 = 0.9539 or a decrease of 5%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.