2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 40-44 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 40-44 in United States

1. 5,862 of 61,133 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 9.59% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 0% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,646 of 47,623 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 216 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 13,510 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 456 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 40,151 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 0% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 5,862 of 21,427,416 people aged 40-44 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

5,862 ÷ 21,427,416 = 0.00027 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 86,303 deaths from Unknown Causes among 327,552,864 people aged 40-44 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

86,303 ÷ 327,552,864 = 0.00026 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

21,427,416 X 0.00026 = 5,646 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

5,862 – 5,646 = 216

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

5,862 ÷ 5,646 = 1.0004

This reveals 216 lives lost and is 100.04% of what we expected (an increase of 0%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

37,286 ÷ 140,603,170 = 0.00027 (5-yr CDR)

21,427,416(2022 pop) X 0.00027 = 5,682 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5,862 – 5,682 = 180 or 180 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

5,862 ÷ 5,682 = 0.9941 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

162,030,586 X 0.00026 = 42,692 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

43148 – 42,692 = 456 or 456 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

43,148 ÷ 42,692 = 0.9737 or a decrease of 3%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.