2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Girls And Boys – 10-14 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for children aged 10-14 in New York

1. 165 of 165 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 99.99% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 150 of 151 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 15 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 14 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 112 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 107 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many children aged 10-14 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 165 of 1,128,498 children aged 10-14 living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

165 ÷ 1,128,498 = 0.00015 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,540 deaths from Unknown Causes among 19,100,445 children aged 10-14 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,540 ÷ 19,100,445 = 0.00013 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,128,498 X 0.00013 = 150 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

165 – 150 = 15

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

165 ÷ 150 = 1.0226

This reveals 15 lives lost and is 102.26% of what we expected (an increase of 2%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

927 ÷ 7,925,521 = 0.00012 (5-yr CDR)

1,128,498(2022 pop) X 0.00012 = 132 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

165 – 132 = 33 or 33 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

165 ÷ 132 = 1.1516 or an increase of 15%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,054,019 X 0.00013 = 1,204 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1092 – 1,204 = -112 or 112 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,092 ÷ 1,204 = 0.8435 or a decrease of 16%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.