2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in New York

1. 31,047 of 173,938 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 17.85% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 26,259 of 153,988 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 4,788 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 19,950 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 19,944 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 104,405 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 31,047 of 19,219,967 individuals of all ages living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

31,047 ÷ 19,219,967 = 0.00162 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 387,676 deaths from Unknown Causes among 283,755,245 individuals of all ages living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

387,676 ÷ 283,755,245 = 0.00137 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

19,219,967 X 0.00137 = 26,259 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

31,047 – 26,259 = 4,788

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

31,047 ÷ 26,259 = 1.1737

This reveals 4,788 lives lost and is 117.37% of what we expected (an increase of 17%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

198,812 ÷ 134,425,179 = 0.00148 (5-yr CDR)

19,219,967(2022 pop) X 0.00148 = 28,426 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

31,047 – 28,426 = 2,621 or 2,621 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

31,047 ÷ 28,426 = 1.0849 or an increase of 8%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

153,645,146 X 0.00137 = 209,915 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

229859 – 209,915 = 19,944 or 19,944 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

229,859 ÷ 209,915 = 1.0871 or an increase of 9%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.