2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – 65-69 | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Ontario

1. 505 of 9,201 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 5.49% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 327% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 110 of 11,113 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 395 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 1,912 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 891 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 13,346 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Ontario’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 327% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 505 of 855,430 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Ontario died from Unknown Causes.

505 ÷ 855,430 = 0.00059 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 989 deaths from Unknown Causes among 7,710,406 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

989 ÷ 7,710,406 = 0.00013 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

855,430 X 0.00013 = 110 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

505 – 110 = 395

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

505 ÷ 110 = 4.2696

This reveals 395 lives lost and is 426.96% of what we expected (an increase of 327%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,185 ÷ 5,370,426 = 0.00022 (5-yr CDR)

855,430(2022 pop) X 0.00022 = 189 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

505 – 189 = 316 or 316 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

505 ÷ 189 = 2.5595 or an increase of 156%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

6,225,856 X 0.00013 = 799 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1690 – 799 = 891 or 891 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,690 ÷ 799 = 1.9632 or an increase of 96%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.