2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | Washington, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in Washington

1. 998 of 998 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 78% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 554 of 554 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 444 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,264 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 78% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 998 of 620,582 people aged 30-34 living in Washington died from All Causes.

998 ÷ 620,582 = 0.00161 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 6,005 deaths from All Causes among 6,732,155 people aged 30-34 living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

6,005 ÷ 6,732,155 = 0.00089 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

620,582 X 0.00089 = 554 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

998 – 554 = 444

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

998 ÷ 554 = 1.7829

This reveals 444 lives lost and is 178.29% of what we expected (an increase of 78%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,340 ÷ 3,946,609 = 0.00110 (5-yr CDR)

620,582(2022 pop) X 0.00110 = 682 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

998 – 682 = 316 or 316 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

998 ÷ 682 = 1.4492 or an increase of 45%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,567,191 X 0.00089 = 4,074 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5338 – 4,074 = 1,264 or 1,264 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,338 ÷ 4,074 = 1.2958 or an increase of 30%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.