2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 35-39 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for men aged 35-39 in Canada

1. 556 of 2,495 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 22.28% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 535% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 73 of 1,627 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 483 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 868 excess All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 1,905 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 3,422 excess All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 535% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 556 of 1,423,358 men aged 35-39 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

556 ÷ 1,423,358 = 0.00039 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 928 deaths from Unknown Causes among 18,017,622 men aged 35-39 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

928 ÷ 18,017,622 = 0.00005 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,423,358 X 0.00005 = 73 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

556 – 73 = 483

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

556 ÷ 73 = 6.3511

This reveals 483 lives lost and is 635.11% of what we expected (an increase of 535%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,945 ÷ 10,150,337 = 0.00019 (5-yr CDR)

1,423,358(2023 pop) X 0.00019 = 273 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

556 – 273 = 283 or 283 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

556 ÷ 273 = 1.9374 or an increase of 94%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

11,573,695 X 0.00005 = 596 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2501 – 596 = 1,905 or 1,905 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,501 ÷ 596 = 3.5134 or an increase of 251%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.