2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 65-69 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 65-69 in British Columbia

1. 1,333 of 1,333 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 18% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,617 of 1,617 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 284 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,155 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 18% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,333 of 173,501 elderly women aged 65-69 living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

1,333 ÷ 173,501 = 0.00768 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 13,259 deaths from All Causes among 1,422,560 elderly women aged 65-69 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

13,259 ÷ 1,422,560 = 0.00932 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

173,501 X 0.00932 = 1,617 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,333 – 1,617 = -284

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,333 ÷ 1,617 = 0.8234

This reveals 284 lives saved and is 82.34% of what we expected (a decrease of 18%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

8,216 ÷ 1,082,170 = 0.00759 (5-yr CDR)

173,501(2022 pop) X 0.00759 = 1,317 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,333 – 1,317 = 16 or 16 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,333 ÷ 1,317 = 1.0106 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,255,671 X 0.00932 = 11,704 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9549 – 11,704 = -2,155 or 2,155 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

9,549 ÷ 11,704 = 0.8150 or a decrease of 18%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.