2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 25-29 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in British Columbia

1. 252 of 252 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 43% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 174 of 174 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 78 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 541 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 43% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 252 of 192,867 men aged 25-29 living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

252 ÷ 192,867 = 0.00131 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,968 deaths from All Causes among 2,184,691 men aged 25-29 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,968 ÷ 2,184,691 = 0.00090 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

192,867 X 0.00090 = 174 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

252 – 174 = 78

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

252 ÷ 174 = 1.4345

This reveals 78 lives lost and is 143.45% of what we expected (an increase of 43%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,595 ÷ 1,257,014 = 0.00127 (5-yr CDR)

192,867(2022 pop) X 0.00127 = 245 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

252 – 245 = 7 or 7 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

252 ÷ 245 = 1.0217 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,449,881 X 0.00090 = 1,306 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1847 – 1,306 = 541 or 541 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,847 ÷ 1,306 = 1.3986 or an increase of 40%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.