2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in British Columbia

1. 185 of 2,638 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 7.01% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 449% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 30 of 2,761 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 155 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 123 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 381 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,648 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of British Columbia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 449% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 185 of 368,533 people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia died from Unknown Causes.

185 ÷ 368,533 = 0.00050 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 288 deaths from Unknown Causes among 3,539,232 people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

288 ÷ 3,539,232 = 0.00008 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

368,533 X 0.00008 = 30 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

185 – 30 = 155

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

185 ÷ 30 = 5.4938

This reveals 155 lives lost and is 549.38% of what we expected (an increase of 449%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

423 ÷ 2,416,290 = 0.00018 (5-yr CDR)

368,533(2022 pop) X 0.00018 = 65 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

185 – 65 = 120 or 120 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

185 ÷ 65 = 2.7126 or an increase of 171%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,784,823 X 0.00008 = 227 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

608 – 227 = 381 or 381 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

608 ÷ 227 = 2.3894 or an increase of 139%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.