2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 25-29 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 25-29 in Canada

1. 680 of 680 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 48% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 446 of 446 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 234 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,072 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 48% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 680 of 1,299,746 women aged 25-29 living in Canada died from All Causes.

680 ÷ 1,299,746 = 0.00052 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,696 deaths from All Causes among 16,608,666 women aged 25-29 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,696 ÷ 16,608,666 = 0.00034 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,299,746 X 0.00034 = 446 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

680 – 446 = 234

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

680 ÷ 446 = 1.4823

This reveals 234 lives lost and is 148.23% of what we expected (an increase of 48%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,817 ÷ 8,687,298 = 0.00044 (5-yr CDR)

1,299,746(2022 pop) X 0.00044 = 571 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

680 – 571 = 109 or 109 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

680 ÷ 571 = 1.1642 or an increase of 16%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,987,044 X 0.00034 = 3,425 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4497 – 3,425 = 1,072 or 1,072 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,497 ÷ 3,425 = 1.2758 or an increase of 28%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.