2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 25-29 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in Canada

1. 1,524 of 1,524 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 36% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,109 of 1,109 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 415 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,499 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 36% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,524 of 1,403,901 men aged 25-29 living in Canada died from All Causes.

1,524 ÷ 1,403,901 = 0.00109 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 13,368 deaths from All Causes among 16,919,940 men aged 25-29 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

13,368 ÷ 16,919,940 = 0.00079 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,403,901 X 0.00079 = 1,109 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,524 – 1,109 = 415

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,524 ÷ 1,109 = 1.3568

This reveals 415 lives lost and is 135.68% of what we expected (an increase of 36%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,355 ÷ 9,202,730 = 0.00102 (5-yr CDR)

1,403,901(2022 pop) X 0.00102 = 1,427 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,524 – 1,427 = 97 or 97 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,524 ÷ 1,427 = 1.0575 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,606,631 X 0.00079 = 8,380 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10879 – 8,380 = 2,499 or 2,499 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,879 ÷ 8,380 = 1.2820 or an increase of 28%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.