2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 60-64 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in Canada

1. 12,324 of 12,324 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 13,243 of 13,243 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 919 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 10,623 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 12,324 of 1,299,750 men aged 60-64 living in Canada died from All Causes.

12,324 ÷ 1,299,750 = 0.00948 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 128,819 deaths from All Causes among 12,643,403 men aged 60-64 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

128,819 ÷ 12,643,403 = 0.01019 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,299,750 X 0.01019 = 13,243 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

12,324 – 13,243 = -919

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

12,324 ÷ 13,243 = 0.9297

This reveals 919 lives saved and is 92.97% of what we expected (a decrease of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

75,878 ÷ 8,399,817 = 0.00903 (5-yr CDR)

1,299,750(2022 pop) X 0.00903 = 11,741 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

12,324 – 11,741 = 583 or 583 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

12,324 ÷ 11,741 = 1.0485 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,699,567 X 0.01019 = 98,825 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

88202 – 98,825 = -10,623 or 10,623 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

88,202 ÷ 98,825 = 0.8916 or a decrease of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.